Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009540 0.011370 0.013606 0.016594 0.020563 0.025779 0.033377
2025-05-11 0.007177 0.009264 0.012133 0.016537 0.023473 0.034689 0.056028
2025-05-18 0.005821 0.007883 0.010930 0.016055 0.025158 0.042436 0.084014
2025-05-25 0.004855 0.006789 0.009792 0.015179 0.025649 0.048247 0.115368
2025-06-01 0.004206 0.006033 0.008986 0.014578 0.026326 0.054873 0.160084
2025-06-08 0.003861 0.005689 0.008769 0.014952 0.029144 0.068931 0.265934
2025-06-15 0.003505 0.005266 0.008329 0.014762 0.030602 0.080750 0.412525
2025-06-22 0.003128 0.004759 0.007654 0.013915 0.030080 0.085857 0.551858
2025-06-29 0.002924 0.004525 0.007445 0.014023 0.032201 0.103596 1.002438
2025-07-06 0.002793 0.004402 0.007428 0.014562 0.035885 0.134265 2.519415
2025-07-13 0.002725 0.004384 0.007612 0.015637 0.042006 0.192510 14.378306
2025-07-20 0.002616 0.004275 0.007590 0.016184 0.046732 0.258531 391.050708
2025-07-27 0.002446 0.004050 0.007327 0.016136 0.049721 0.331415 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002291 0.003841 0.007078 0.016090 0.052965 0.435159 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002128 0.003600 0.006719 0.015626 0.054021 0.526158 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001961 0.003334 0.006270 0.014782 0.052656 0.573087 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001827 0.003125 0.005929 0.014202 0.052425 0.656692 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001759 0.003046 0.005883 0.014563 0.057993 1.013688 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001669 0.002911 0.005687 0.014379 0.060213 1.354409 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001556 0.002719 0.005330 0.013562 0.057672 1.410053 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001497 0.002638 0.005240 0.013667 0.061797 2.179883 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001460 0.002604 0.005261 0.014187 0.069878 4.636418 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001447 0.002616 0.005405 0.015224 0.084410 20.385629 NaN